{"id":58545,"date":"2019-02-24T10:38:30","date_gmt":"2019-02-24T13:38:30","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/experienciadevida.com.ar\/portalurbano\/?p=58545"},"modified":"2019-02-24T10:38:30","modified_gmt":"2019-02-24T13:38:30","slug":"economistas-estiman-un-cuatrimestre-con-una-alta-inflacion","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/experienciadevida.com.ar\/portalurbano\/economistas-estiman-un-cuatrimestre-con-una-alta-inflacion\/","title":{"rendered":"Economistas estiman un cuatrimestre con una \u201calta inflaci\u00f3n"},"content":{"rendered":"
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Economistas pronosticaron ayer que habr\u00e1 un cuatrimestre con\u00a0\u201cinflaci\u00f3n alta\u201d<\/strong>, mientras consideraron que el d\u00f3lar en la actualidad se encuentra en un nivel \u201ccompetitivo\u201d.<\/div>\n
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\nEl economista\u00a0Miguel Kiguel<\/strong>\u00a0analiz\u00f3 que la suba del d\u00f3lar se dio porque\u00a0\u201cla tasa de inter\u00e9s de las leliq baj\u00f3 demasiado r\u00e1pido\u201d<\/strong>\u00a0y\u00a0\u201cla inflaci\u00f3n, que fue del 2,9 por ciento, por arriba de lo que se esperaba\u201d<\/strong>.<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/article>\n
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\u201cTodo eso llev\u00f3 a que el tipo de cambio suba. El Banco Central reaccion\u00f3 r\u00e1pido y bien\u201d, destac\u00f3 y asegur\u00f3 que \u201cdio muestras de que lo puede controlar\u201d.<\/p><\/blockquote>\n<\/div>\n

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Puntualiz\u00f3 que\u00a0\u201cen la Argentina es muy importante la estabilidad cambiaria\u201d<\/strong>, mientras estim\u00f3 que \u201cel d\u00f3lar no va a acompa\u00f1ar la suba de precios este a\u00f1o, pero no se va a quedar muy atr\u00e1s\u201d.<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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Con relaci\u00f3n a la inflaci\u00f3n, pronostic\u00f3 que en febrero ser\u00e1 \u201cm\u00e1s alta que la de enero\u201d.<\/p><\/blockquote>\n<\/div>\n

\u201cVa a ser un cuatrimestre de inflaci\u00f3n alta. Para mayo deber\u00edamos ver n\u00fameros un poco m\u00e1s bajos\u201d<\/strong>, consider\u00f3 Kiguel en di\u00e1logo con\u00a0FM Milenium<\/em>. Por su parte, el economista jefe de la\u00a0 consultora\u00a0 \u00a0 Elypsis<\/em>,\u00a0 \u00a0Gabriel<\/strong>\u00a0\u00a0Zelpo<\/strong>, evalu\u00f3:\u00a0\u201cEl problema grande que tenemos es que el d\u00f3lar es una variable que miramos todos los d\u00edas\u201d<\/strong>.<\/p>\n

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\u201cEs una econom\u00eda bastante dolarizada y cada vez que se mueva un poquito, siempre nos despierta alg\u00fan miedo. M\u00e1s si se tiene en cuenta que venimos de una crisis cambiaria bastante significativa como la de 2018\u201d, se\u00f1al\u00f3.<\/p><\/blockquote>\n<\/div>\n

Adem\u00e1s, subray\u00f3 que, en la actualidad, el d\u00f3lar se encuentra en un nivel\u00a0\u201crelativamente coherente\u201d<\/strong>, por lo que rechaz\u00f3 la posibilidad de que haya un atraso cambiario. \u201cPedir un tipo de cambio real m\u00e1s alto es lo mismo que pedir un mayor ajuste que ya hemos observado\u201d, alert\u00f3 Zelpo.<\/p>\n

Con relaci\u00f3n a los posibles movimientos del billete en el corto plazo, se\u00f1al\u00f3: \u201cEsperamos que evolucione como hasta ahora, en l\u00ednea con la inflaci\u00f3n y cercano a la banda inferior\u201d.\u00a0\u201cM\u00e1s all\u00e1 de alg\u00fan salto como el de la \u00faltima semana, que se siga ubicando cerca de la banda inferior\u201d<\/strong>, insisti\u00f3.\u201cParece que la inflaci\u00f3n de febrero va a ser m\u00e1s alta que la de enero\u201d, dijo el economista Miguel Kiguel en declaraciones a radio FM Milenium.<\/p>\n

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Y, apunt\u00f3 que \u201cva a ser un cuatrimestre de inflaci\u00f3n alta\u201d al se\u00f1alar que \u201cpara mayo deber\u00edamos ver n\u00fameros un poquito m\u00e1s bajos\u201d, aunque alert\u00f3 que \u201cno estamos hablando de inflaci\u00f3n baja, pero si que vamos a ver una desaceleraci\u00f3n\u201d.\u00a0\u201cEstamos viendo precios que se est\u00e1n re acomodando a la suba del d\u00f3lar que no lo hicieron durante el a\u00f1o pasado, y la suba de tarifas, eso est\u00e1 impactando mucho\u201d, acot\u00f3.<\/p><\/blockquote>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n

La consultora\u00a0Delphos investment<\/em>\u00a0asegur\u00f3 que\u00a0\u201cse esperar\u00eda un repunte de la actividad durante el segundo trimestre de este a\u00f1o. Sin embargo, el mismo estar\u00eda apoyada casi \u00edntegramente en la cosecha r\u00e9cord\u201d<\/strong>.<\/p>\n

En el informe sobre\u00a0\u201cElecciones, actividad y\u00a0consumo\u201d<\/strong>, advirti\u00f3 que este repunte de la actividad tendr\u00e1 un efecto \u201casim\u00e9trico\u201d a nivel geogr\u00e1fico, \u201ccon resultados favorables al interior de la Provincia de Buenos Aires, C\u00f3rdoba, Santa Fe y La Pampa\u201d y por lo tanto concluyeron que \u201cel buen humor esquivar\u00eda distritos claves para lograr la reelecci\u00f3n\u201d.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/article>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Economistas pronosticaron ayer que habr\u00e1 un cuatrimestre con\u00a0\u201cinflaci\u00f3n alta\u201d, mientras consideraron que el d\u00f3lar en…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"content-type":""},"categories":[30],"tags":[],"nelio_content":{"isAutoShareEnabled":false,"autoShareEndMode":"default","automationSources":{"useContentSentences":true,"useSocialTemplates":true,"useCustomSentences":false,"customSentences":[]},"followers":[1],"suggestedReferences":[],"includedReferences":[],"efiUrl":"","efiAlt":"","highlights":[]},"yoast_head":"\nEconomistas estiman un cuatrimestre con una \u201calta inflaci\u00f3n -<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" 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